Unemployment and Payroll number Why do they not match???????????
This past week we got numbers that said Unemployment Rate was 9.7% for Jan 2010. It is good to see a drop in the numbers but the underlining information does not seem to follow that people are being hired at the numbers to cause this drop in unemployment. We also received a report that we lost 20 thousand jobs in January.
This raises questions if we lose jobs overall how can the Unemployment rate drop?
Possibilities:
a. The government is cooking the books at the Bureau of Labor.
b. More people have exhausted thier unemployment benefits and are no longer being counted because the standard used to count the unemployed.
c. People are leaving the US because there are no jobs.
Which ever the option the numbers when people look at them have them scratching thier heads. I expect next week President Obama will be yelling for another Jobs Bill. The last thing we need is Washington DC spending more money. This will increase market uncertainty. It will mean Investors will have more doubts and slow down any investment plans to see what Washington will do.
We can not buy our way into prosperity. Tax money is not unlimited. Printing pressess must be running out of paper soon. I do not know if there are enough trees in the US to print all this debt that has built up in the past few years. Raising the debt limit by the Senate before Republicans can get 40 votes to help block some of the issues taking place. IF they have the courage to make a stand. If they could have blocked the debt limit it would have forced the Obama Budget to be delayed. And tough decisions would have been forced on The President, and Congress.
To put this in budget in the correct light I found the following Article.
A comparison of Obama’s budget with the projections for 2011 in Bush’s first spending plan, presented in February 2001, highlights both the tendency of outcomes to be worse than the more distant projections and the bipartisan nature of recent U.S. fiscal indiscipline.
Bush forecast spending in fiscal year 2011 of $2.7 trillion, just a little more than 15 percent of projected GDP. That was too optimistic — even in 2002, federal government spending was nearly 18 percent of GDP. And Obama’s budgeted spending in 2011 of $3.8 trillion is more than 25 percent of GDP.
So if the Government spends more and more of the GDP where will the money be for jobs. Can not these so called brilliant men see that they are hurting our recovery. That the spending has to stop. We can not afford a Trillion Dollars increase in Deficit how are they going to pay for it except by taking it from the economy and blunting any growth that is possible. We have a problem in Washington DC. They just love to spend other peoples money and they do not care of the Consequences.
